Thursday, July 30, 2020

On Politics: Obama (Privately) Slams Trump

Raking in cash for Biden, the ex-president eases off the gloves: This is your morning tip sheet.

Obama takes the gloves off for Biden, and Congress grills tech executives. It’s Thursday, and this is your politics tip sheet.

Where things stand

  • Former President Barack Obama has never exactly been a political attack dog. For most of his presidency, he was far more about compromise than bluster. And since leaving office in 2017, he has tended to moderate his public statements about President Trump — attacking him obliquely, if at all.
  • But when journalists’ cameras are off, in lucrative private fund-raisers with donors, Obama has been letting loose on Trump, as our reporters Shane Goldmacher and Glenn Thrush detail in a new article. Obama has highlighted the numerous accusations of sexual assault leveled against Trump and warned of the president’s tendency to lean on “nativist, racist, sexist” fears, according to notes made from recordings of Obama’s remarks, donors and others who have been on the calls.
  • The combination of Obama’s sought-after presence and his dire warnings about Trump appears to be paying off: Digital events he has participated in have raised $24 million for Joe Biden’s campaign since the start of last month.
  • During a conversation with J.B. Pritzker, the governor of Illinois, Obama pointed to Trump’s fixation on the preservation of Confederate monuments and the Confederate flag. “That’s like his No. 1 priority,” Obama said, adding that this “gives you a sense of what this is about.”
  • Congress is getting its licks in before the August recess with a string of high-profile hearings, and yesterday the Big Tech bosses were in the hot seat. The heads of Amazon, Google, Apple and Facebook appeared before the House — in the case of Jeff Bezos, Amazon’s chief executive, for the first time — and faced tough questions from members of the House Judiciary antitrust subcommittee about their increasingly firm grips on their areas of industry.
  • As is often the case, the questions were more substantive than the responses, as the executives frequently wriggled out of answering or said they couldn’t recall the documents and conversations mentioned. Nevertheless, multiple executives were asked about their use of data to steer traffic away from smaller competing businesses. Another topic that kept coming up: the tech giants’ practice of buying up smaller companies that pose a threat to their hold on consumers’ data and eyeballs.
  • The subcommittee said it had amassed 1.3 million documents on the four tech giants over the course of a 13-month investigation into their dominance in the industry.
  • “Any single action by one of these companies can affect hundreds of millions of us in profound and lasting ways,” Representative David Cicilline, a Democrat from Rhode Island and the chairman of the antitrust subcommittee, said in his opening statement. “Simply put: They have too much power.”
  • Also yesterday, the Trump administration asked the Federal Communications Commission to narrow its protections of internet platforms that take down content seen as politically inflammatory. Trump and other Republicans have repeatedly complained that tech companies too often target conservative content for removal.
  • At the day’s antitrust hearings, Republican members of the House often veered away from the stated focus on monopolistic corporate practices, instead focusing their questions on instances of what they called anti-conservative bias in the companies’ decisions around censorship.
  • Yesterday in this newsletter, our reporter Emily Cochrane described Trump as “ever a businessman and real estate developer” as she detailed his attempts to keep the F.B.I. headquarters near his hotel in downtown Washington. And in fact, Trump’s personal approach to real estate development has been rearing its head in another way lately.
  • In the 1970s, Trump and his father were sued by tenants for screening out Black renters at their housing developments; they eventually settled the suit without admitting wrongdoing. Last week, the administration moved to nullify an Obama-era rule aimed at fighting housing discrimination in suburbs.
  • And on Twitter yesterday, the president restated the familiar argument that fair-housing legislation depresses housing prices as he boasted that he was protecting suburbanites and that they would “no longer be bothered or financially hurt by having low income housing built in your neighborhood.”
  • It was the latest of many recent attempts to explicitly play up white racial anxieties as the presidential campaign enters its final months.
  • Trump said yesterday that when he spoke to President Vladimir Putin of Russia last week, he didn’t think it was worth the time to mention the Russian government’s reported bounty payments to Taliban fighters.
  • “That was a phone call to discuss other things, and frankly, that’s an issue that many people said was fake news,” Trump told Axios.
  • Evidence that Russia had offered payments to the Taliban in exchange for attacks on American troops was presented to Trump in February, but he has repeatedly refused to acknowledge having received that information.
  • Despite reports to the contrary, Trump told Axios that the Russia intelligence “never reached my desk.” Speaking briefly to reporters on the White House lawn after the interview was published, Trump said of the bounties report, “If it were true, I’d be very angry about it.”

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Photo of the day

Pool photo by Mandel Ngan

Mark Zuckerberg, Facebook’s chief executive, during his testimony yesterday. One lawmaker confronted him with Zuckerberg’s own emails, saying they showed a plot to take out a young competitor.

No, Republicans probably aren’t being undercounted in the polls.

With Trump lagging behind Biden in most national surveys, the Trump campaign has recently begun to advance the argument that public pollsters are not reaching enough Republican participants.

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The campaign has pointed to the fact that national polls now often find no more than a quarter of the electorate self-identifying as Republicans. The number was closer to one-third in 2016, according to exit polls and other postelection analyses.

“National polls are often askew from what these 2016 exit polls were,” Bill Stepien, Trump’s campaign manager, argued in a call with reporters last week.

Certainly, pollsters — and news readers — ought to be concerned about any evidence that surveys might wrongly be disfavoring Trump, leading to a repeat of polling misfires in 2016.

Nate Cohn, the Upshot’s polling expert, looked into the Trump campaign’s claims by analyzing data from a string of New York Times/Siena College polls last month. Using the voter files from which respondents had been drawn, he concluded that Republicans were no less likely to respond to surveys than Democrats.

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In fact, since people in relatively high-response demographics — like rural, white and older voters — tend to skew toward the G.O.P., Republicans had actually been a little bit easier for Siena’s pollsters to get in touch with than Democrats.

Generally speaking, it’s usually not a good idea to expect consistency from the partisan makeup of the country. As Gallup’s tracking numbers on the subject show, those figures are very fluid — easily influenced by the events in the news and the policy positions presently being advanced by one party or the other.

For what it’s worth, the tracker now corroborates the very data that Stepien’s team dislikes: In early June, the last time Gallup published new data on this, it found that 25 percent of the country identified as Republican.

That’s part of a steady downward trend for Republicans throughout the year, as Gallup’s Jeffrey Jones writes in a new analysis. When counting independents who lean toward one party, Americans in January were just as likely to favor the Republican Party as to pick the Democrats. By June, with the coronavirus raging and the economy down, 50 percent of respondents identified as or leaned toward Democrats, with just 39 percent for Republicans.

Looking to a brighter economic future

Join us today for two events:

First, at 1 p.m. Eastern, we’ll be discussing the unique challenges facing women during the pandemic and how to build a more equitable financial future. Special guests are Alicia Garza, a principal at the Black Futures Lab and co-founder of Black Lives Matter, Sallie Krawcheck, former Wall Street executive and co-founder and chief executive of Ellevest, a firm focused on closing the gender investment gap, and Bola Sokunbi, the founder and chief executive of Clever Girl Finance. Hosted by Jessica Bennett, gender editor at large for The Times. You can R.S.V.P. here.

Then, at 5 p.m. Eastern, join us for a three-part event:

We’ll start with a discussion about workers needing better jobs and better pay with Robert B. Reich, the labor secretary under President Bill Clinton, and Ai-jen Poo, head of the National Domestic Workers Alliance, moderated by The Times’s David Leonhardt. Then, watch Okieriete Onaodowan (“Hamilton”) and Lexi Underwood (“Little Fires Everywhere”) perform a poem written by taxi drivers, nannies and others from the Worker Writers School at PEN America. And hear from Times readers who share how much they make and whether they think their pay is fair. R.S.V.P. here.

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